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I agree with you except for one point.  Common rigs are not running 39's or larger.  The masses are still running 35'ish tires.  That is the offroad market, folks that want a bigger tire but is still street friendly.  For the one person that is running stickies, there are 20 that dont (i made that statistic up but you get the point).  Folks that trailer and do the extreme trails are the minority in the world of offroading.