radioman said:
OPEC has tripled the per barrel price over the last three years, probably as a way to fatten up their coffers and as a way the punish the "American pigs" that depend so heavily on the oil.
That's all true, but high prices aren't necessarily good for the OPEC members, either. As the price of crude increases, the OPEC share of worldwide reserve actually decreases significantly. They're something like 30% of worldwide production now... give or take 10%, I'm not sure. They've got some of the largest proven sweet crude reserves, too. But as price goes up, other crude sources elsewhere in the world become profitable. Oil shale in Colorado, oil sands in Alberta, and so on. The balance of reserves actually shifts very sharply to this side of the ocean as the price increases.
Not only that, but momentary price spikes have often resulted in long-term demand decreases and lower prices over the long term. Those guys weren't making a whole lot of cash in the mid- and late-90s when we were paying less than $11 a barrel and $1/gal at the pump. Those prices were partly to blame on spikes a few years earlier that slowed demand growth.
There was something like 70% excess production capacity in SE Asia/Pacific Rim up until a couple of years ago. Chinese demand jumped, and now they're running at capacity, straining production and causing rapid market fluctuations there as well.
All in all, a complex problem with no easy solutions, and no readily-apparent causes and effects.
I saw a nice little article the other day, tho.... basic idea was that we already have a bunch of E85-capable vehicles riding around on the roads. If some thoughful politicians (cough) would create regulations requiring US market vehicles to be tri-fuel capable.... run ethanol, methanol, or gasoline, within a couple of years, we'd have a few million of those riding around. Once that happened, you'd get local market supplements from ethanol and methanol that significantly offset gasoline demand. E85 is already widely available in a lot of great plains states (corn). Midwest states, Rocky Mountain states, etc could have locally-produced methanol, etc.