Full Disclaimer: I'm a Financial Advisor since 2008 with my Series 7, 66, Life Insurance and Long Term Care Licenses'.
I'm happy to talk to anyone free of charge just PM me. I don't check here as much as I used to pre-baby but I will get back with you.
Your biggest enemies in retirement are inflation and medical cost.
I'm going to keep it real general. 80% of your highest year of income is the minimum you should use for spending money in retirement . How did I get that number? Chances are you should have all of your debts paid off and will be driving less thus being able to "live comfortably" in retirement.
Lets use a simple example assuming retirement at 65 and you and your spouse are 1 out of only 3 American's that does not need Long Term Medical Care(LTC). Lets say your last year of work, you and your spouse make $100,000. 80% of that is $80,000/4%=$2,000,000 at retirement. If you start at 4% withdraw, you should be able to raise your income in a properly balanced investment portfolio 3% every year to keep up with inflation.
So Spending money counting inflation,
1st year. $80,000 x 1.03=
2nd year $82,400 x "
3rd year $84,872.... and so on.
What about social security? Currently, the Social Security Board of Trustees projects program cost to rise by 2035 so that taxes will be enough to pay for only 75 percent of scheduled benefits. Go to ssa.gov to check on your s.s. benefits.
Now lets say you fall on the statistical side of being 2 out of 3 married couples over the age of 65 that may need Long Term Medical Care. In today's dollars in North Carolina that can average $9,000 per month per individual for in home care and average duration of care can be 3 years unless you have Alzheimer's / dementia which could last average of 9 years.
$9,000x 12monthsx 9years = $972,000 in Long Term Medical Care for one of you.
That's Today's dollars and medical care is inflating faster that 3% per year. So the reality is everyone should SERIOUSLY consider keeping yourself healthy enough where you could qualify for a Long Term Care policy. LTC insurance has changed dramatically over the last ten years. Now you can get a policy that is Life Insurance that has access to the death benefit for LTC needs tax free. ( FOR IN HOME CARE, no one wants to go to a nursing home.) That way if you don't use it, your family doesn't lose it. That was the biggest downfall of the old style LTC policy's.
You don't want to "self insure" and pay for LTC from your taxable IRA's, trust me.
PM me for free personalized retirement predictions and LTC/Life insurance quotes.