Stock market investments now or later and who?

[awheelterd]

I saw this same ad last week, except it was 4.00. Are the markets expecting a rate increase next time now? Looks like it to me.

 

[benXJ]

The valuation of the owned assets

let's go!

 

[Ron]

let's go!

Assuming you saw the 10-k was filed yesterday with the 427mm actually listed as on the audit review?

It’s slower than I’d like but still has a chance to run

 

[awheelterd]

Looks like boots are going to hit the ground in the next few days. Sold most of my royal Caribbean and bought more oil stocks this morning

Also listening to the Shawn Ryan - Joe Kent podcast. 100% convinced this wont wind down any time soon. Trying to decide which other stocks to dump to put into oil

 

[justjeepin86]

Looks like boots are going to hit the ground in the next few days. Sold most of my royal Caribbean and bought more oil stocks this morning

Also listening to the Shawn Ryan - Joe Kent podcast. 100% convinced this wont wind down any time soon. Trying to decide which other stocks to dump to put into oil

Shame you didn't have insider info like the ones the other day........

 

[gslander]

Looks like boots are going to hit the ground in the next few days. Sold most of my royal Caribbean and bought more oil stocks this morning

Also listening to the Shawn Ryan - Joe Kent podcast. 100% convinced this wont wind down any time soon. Trying to decide which other stocks to dump to put into oil

I have a few k on the sidelines I have been waiting to put into a an ETF in an IRA, it may be getting parked into an energy one for a bit to offset the losses from everything else. OR sit on it and wait for the market to tank further as this mess drags on and stuff starts going on sale.

 

[benXJ]

all my extra $ is going into the gas tank

lame

 

[drkelly]

S&P down about 9% now. I'm guessing this turns into a typical correction of about 10-15%. I think the Iran situation will be over in roughly about 2-4 weeks. Oil will drop to $70 barrel very quickly, and the market will reverse directions.

 

[Will Carter]

Not trying to pick on @drkelly again, but this market has nothing to do with the war in whatever country. This market has been in profit taking since October of last year. I think I made some calls to the like if anybody wants to scroll back. It's a hard game trying to make or save money on the news. Most people will wait to the point that they should be buying when they're fear selling.


This was my last sell to go to cash on SP500 SPY. There was no war on the news. Just a chart that hadn't broken out to the upside for the fourth or so time.

I was just going to come talk shit but I guess I could be helpful since I'm at the computer doing a bit of analysis myself...

This is what I mean when I say "profit taking"...

Say you were an investor that did their job halfway right and you were sitting in cash after the big 20% pull back starting in February of last year. You're just sitting and waiting for that buy signal to get back in the party.

Well the week of 4/21/25 was that signal. That week trapped more scared sellers from the week before (selling the news probably, was this tariff stuff?) and then finished strong. If you're taking that investment opportunity guess where you better be holding until?

Then it comes along another week later and provides you with another nice looking follow through bar and a higher new swing point (stop loss spot). Again, another decent buy where you can get in for a second chance or add on to your position. Guess where you're taking your money on that one?

Then low and behold a couple months later we're staring at another breakout from the highs and follow through. If there was a last chance on the move this is it. And again, a smart investor doesn't press their luck and takes the 1:2 risk reward, all day, every day (or weeks and months in this case).

And there's a few more fun little 'coincidences' in the futures market that illustrate this point more. Depending on which way and time frame you like to analyze there's probably a dozen higher time frame (monthly, weekly, daily) reasons to take your profits at around 690.

Happy dart throwing.

 

[Will Carter]

Oh here's a sexy one. If you were in the bunch that took the first investment opportunity from the previous post you took your first profits around that first little higher black candle to the left. (the first one touching the top green line).

So you're sitting there with a portion of your cash waiting for the next break out and follow through to put it on again. That never comes. But you know that first big black bar to the left has some stranded sellers sitting there and you know where the new swing point (stop point) is (bottom red line) and you deduce that it's a high probability thing that we'll go back and visit the highs again for such a strong trend. So you slap your buy limit order at the close of the big black bar knowing that anyone who sold the close of that bar (that week) will be happy to get out at break even and sell that short to you for your long buy. And 1:2 is the name of the game.

I got a little sloppy with the drawing here but I zoomed in and this trade went off exactly to the tick. Meaning the top take profit reward point was hit and wen past by .01 then reversed back down with profit taking for the next two weeks. That means everybody who took that trade made their money because it hit the bid on .01 higher price. That's 4 weeks of price action...to the .01 tick.

If this ain't a fun game...

 

[awheelterd]

Oh here's a sexy one. If you were in the bunch that took the first investment opportunity from the previous post you took your first profits around that first little higher black candle to the left. (the first one touching the top green line).

So you're sitting there with a portion of your cash waiting for the next break out and follow through to put it on again. That never comes. But you know that first big black bar to the left has some stranded sellers sitting there and you know where the new swing point (stop point) is (bottom red line) and you deduce that it's a high probability thing that we'll go back and visit the highs again for such a strong trend. So you slap your buy limit order at the close of the big black bar knowing that anyone who sold the close of that bar (that week) will be happy to get out at break even and sell that short to you for your long buy. And 1:2 is the name of the game.

I got a little sloppy with the drawing here but I zoomed in and this trade went off exactly to the tick. Meaning the top take profit reward point was hit and wen past by .01 then reversed back down with profit taking for the next two weeks. That means everybody who took that trade made their money because it hit the bid on .01 higher price. That's 4 weeks of price action...to the .01 tick.

If this ain't a fun game...

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I dont understand half of what youre posting and to say half might be generous .

Do you only play with your money or do you broker? I wouldnt mind tossing some doll hairs at you if for nothing more than to see if you can turn it better than what I do, because Im honestly too dumb for the jargon.

Edit: please dont take this as me doubting you, I literally dont understand how you view the market and wouldnt mind putting some skin in the game to see how far off my perception is from yours

 

[drkelly]

Not trying to pick on @drkelly again, but this market has nothing to do with the war in whatever country.

I disagree. We will see soon.

 

[awheelterd]

I disagree. We will see soon.

I think the war is the straw that broke the camels back. So I guess yall are both right....ish?

 

[Will Carter]

I disagree. We will see soon.

Using your method of tracking the news, when and what did you sell (or buy)? What news will make you buy (or sell) it back?

 

[Will Carter]

I dont understand half of what youre posting and to say half might be generous .

Do you only play with your money or do you broker? I wouldnt mind tossing some doll hairs at you if for nothing more than to see if you can turn it better than what I do, because Im honestly too dumb for the jargon.

Edit: please dont take this as me doubting you, I literally dont understand how you view the market and wouldnt mind putting some skin in the game to see how far off my perception is from yours

No, I’m still too chicken to take any outside money yet. I had hoped to be further along on getting a basic license to do that ‘legally’ at this point but got distracted by a business opportunity late last year. That seems to have fizzled out though so maybe I’ll get back to it.